Bracketology: Oregon State In, Florida Out

After a fairly quiet Sunday and Monday, we don’t see nearly as much movement in the bracket as we did over the weekend.  However, a major shift took place just as I started writing this, as Florida lost at home to Kentucky for their 3rd straight loss and 4th in their last 5 games.  While Florida has played the 13th-toughest schedule in the nation, their only wins over teams currently projected to be in the field are at home against West Virginia and on a neutral court against Saint Joe’s.  This loss drops them to 17-13, putting them right around what is usually the maximum number of losses an at-large qualifier can have.

Oregon State, with home wins against Oregon, Utah, California, Colorado, and Southern Cal, plus a neutral-court win against Tulsa, jumps into the field.  And, they do so as a #9, thanks to several losses by teams on the 9, 10 and 11 lines the last couple of nights.

With all that said, here’s my current projection.  This is as of the end of the 7 PM time slot of games tonight, March 1.  Moves up or down are in parentheses, and projected automatic qualifiers are in bold. 

In since 2/28 update: Oregon State

Out since 2/28 update: Florida

1s: Kansas, Virginia, Villanova, Xavier

2s: Michigan State, Oklahoma, Oregon, Utah

3s: North Carolina, Miami, West Virginia, Iowa State (+1)

4s: Purdue, Kentucky, Iowa (-1), Texas A & M

5s: California, Maryland, Duke, Baylor (+1)

6s: Indiana, Texas (-1), Arizona, Wisconsin (+1)

7s: Notre Dame (-1), Seton Hall, Saint Joe’s, Texas Tech

8s: Dayton, Colorado, Wichita State, Providence

9s: Pittsburgh, Vanderbilt (+1), Oregon State (new), South Carolina

10s: Syracuse, Temple (+1), Virginia Commonwealth (+1), Connecticut

11s: Southern California (-2), Saint Bonaventure, Tulsa (-2), Michigan (-1), Cincinnati, Monmouth

12s: Saint Mary’s, San Diego State, Valparaiso, Arkansas-Little Rock

13s: Princeton, Hofstra, Akron, Chattanooga

14s: South Dakota State, Stephen F. Austin, Belmont, Hawaii

15s: Alabama-Birmingham, Stony Brook, New Mexico State, Weber State

16s: High Point, North Florida, Hampton, Texas Southern, Wagner, Lehigh

 Last Four In: Saint Bonaventure, Tulsa, Michigan, Cincinnati

First Four Out: Alabama, Butler, Gonzaga, Florida

Next Four Out: Stanford, Florida State, George Washington, Ohio State (+2)

Third Four Out: Georgia Tech, Louisiana State, Brigham Young, Washington (-1)

Fourth Four Out: Creighton, Clemson (-1), UCLA, Houston

How about that… in 1968 UCLA and Houston played in the Game of the Century.  This was the first college basketball game aired nationally in prime time.  Now, in 2016, both teams find themselves needing a miracle to get into the field.  In Houston’s case, not much was expected this year; in UCLA’s case, that is a monumental failure.  But, that’s another story for another time.

As for our regularly scheduled programming, look for my next update on Thursday.  And go to the Bracket Matrix to see other projections in the meantime!

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About Mike B.

Avid sports fan, particularly of the Detroit Lions, Pistons, and Tigers, and University of Michigan.
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One Response to Bracketology: Oregon State In, Florida Out

  1. Pingback: Bracketology: Michigan State is Now a 1 | The Mind of Mike Broman

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