After another huge Saturday of college hoops, sandwiched between a smaller schedule on Friday and Sunday, the majority of the movement is around the bubble. Miami, with an impressive double-digit win over North Carolina, jumps back into the field as a 10 seed. Clemson also is back in with a road win at Pittsburgh, this time on the 12 line.
On the wrong side of the bubble, Kansas State falls to the First Four Out after a 12-point loss at Tennessee. Most have been projecting the Wildcats in the field for a while, but I think they still need to do a little more. They have an outstanding win against West Virginia, but their best non-conference win is at Colorado State. Illinois also falls out of the field after a loss at Penn State.
Still on the wrong side of things but on the rise are Tennessee, Georgia Tech, Georgetown, and Texas Tech. Tennessee scored a huge win against Kentucky last Tuesday and continued their streak by beating Kansas State yesterday. Georgia Tech beat Notre Dame yesterday, to go along with wins over Florida State and North Carolina, not to mention VCU and Clemson. With five wins against the current field, and three of those against top teams, it will be hard to keep the Yellow Jackets out for much longer.
Similarly, Georgetown won at Butler, which adds to a list of great wins that also includes Oregon and Creighton. Finally, Texas Tech took care of LSU in the Big 12-SEC Challenge. With LSU falling fast, this isn’t really a quality win at this point, but Texas Tech has wins against West Virginia, TCU, and Kansas State, three tough teams in a very strong Big 12.
With all that said, here’s the current projection. Moves up or down are in parentheses.
In since last time: Eastern Tennessee State, Texas-Arlington, Clemson, Miami
Out since last time: UNC-Greensboro, Georgia Southern, Illinois, Kansas State
1s: Villanova, Baylor, Kansas, Gonzaga
2s: Louisville, Arizona (+1), Kentucky, North Carolina
3s: Virginia, Butler (-1), Florida State, West Virginia (+1)
4s: Oregon (-1), Creighton, UCLA, Purdue
5s: Florida, Cincinnati, Maryland, Wisconsin
6s: Duke, Notre Dame, South Carolina, Saint Mary’s
7s: Northwestern, SMU, Xavier, Southern California
8s: Virginia Commonwealth, Middle Tennessee, Virginia Tech (+1), Dayton
9s: Michigan State, Minnesota (-1), Marquette, Indiana
10s: Illinois State, Rhode Island (+1), Iowa State, Miami (new)
11s: Arkansas (-1), Nevada (+1), Valparaiso, Wichita State
12s: UNC-Wilmington (-2), Michigan (-1), Clemson (new), Georgia, Seton Hall, TCU
13s: Texas-Arlington (new), Monmouth, Akron, Vermont
14s: New Mexico State (-1), Belmont, Florida Gulf Coast (+1), Eastern Tennessee State (new)
15s: Bucknell, North Dakota State, Winthrop, Princeton
16s: Weber State, Sam Houston State, North Carolina Central, Texas Southern, Cal-Irvine, Mount Saint Mary’s
Last Four In: Clemson, Georgia, Seton Hall, TCU
First Four Out: Wake Forest, Kansas State, Providence, Nebraska (+1)
Next Four Out: Tennessee (+2), Georgia Tech (+2), Ole Miss (-1), Illinois
Third Four Out: Georgetown (+2), Texas Tech (+2), California, Pittsburgh
Fourth Four Out: Oklahoma State (+3), Vanderbilt (+1), Temple (-2), North Carolina State (-1)
Look for my next update later this week and as always, check out the Bracket Matrix!