Bracketology: Almost, ACC

Monday had a light schedule, but it had major implications for the tournament.  First off, can you believe West Virginia’s meltdown at Kansas?  With 3 minutes to go, the Mountaineers were up 64-50 and in complete control of the game.  And somehow, Kansas won the game in overtime, basically guaranteeing themselves their 13th straight Big 12 regular season title.  With the win, West Virginia would have been a game behind Kansas in the Big 12 standings with the sweep of the regular season series.  It was one of the craziest endings to a game I’ve seen in a long time, and a good reminder that March is almost here.

Elsewhere in the Big 12, Baylor lost at Texas Tech, for their third loss in February.  I was ready to move them down to the 2 line and to move Louisville up to the 1 line.  It is almost certain that an ACC team will get a 1 seed and that either Baylor or Kansas will wind up as a 2.  But looking at the resumes, I couldn’t quite do it yet.  Baylor has 12 wins against teams currently projected in the field, versus 7 for Louisville.  And, one of those wins for Baylor is on a neutral court against Louisville.  So expect an ACC team to reach the 1 line, but not quite yet.

Finally, I have to mention the Connecticut women’s basketball team, who has now won an unreal 100 games in a row!  Just as amazing, they have gone 837 games without consecutive losses.  That’s a span of probably a quarter century.  That is ridiculous.

With all that said, here’s tonight’s projection.  Moves up or down since my last projection are in parentheses after the team’s name, and projected automatic qualifiers are in bold.

In since last update: Boise State, Seton Hall

Out since last update: Nevada, Wake Forest

1s: Villanova, Kansas, Gonzaga, Baylor

2s: Louisville, North Carolina, Oregon, Arizona

3s: Florida State, Virginia, Florida, Kentucky

4s: UCLA, Duke, West Virginia, Butler

5s: Creighton, Purdue, Notre Dame, Cincinnati

6s: Wisconsin, South Carolina, SMU (+1), Maryland

7s: Xavier (-1), Saint Mary’s, Iowa State, Minnesota (+1)

8s: Northwestern, Southern Cal (-1), Oklahoma State, Dayton

9s: Virginia Tech (+1), VCU (-1), Michigan State, Wichita State

10s: Kansas State (-1), Miami, Michigan (+1), Marquette

11s: TCU, California, Indiana (-1), Rhode Island, Illinois State (+1), Seton Hall (new)

12s: Middle Tennessee (-1), Valparaiso, Vermont, UNC-Wilmington (+1)

13s: Boise State (new), Texas Arlington, Akron (-1), Monmouth

14s: Princeton, UNC-Asheville, Furman, Belmont

15s: Bucknell, Florida Gulf Coast, North Dakota State, Cal-Bakersfield

16s: UC-Irvine, Mount Saint Mary’s, Texas Southern, Weber State, New Orleans, North Carolina Central

 Last Four In: Indiana, Rhode Island, Illinois State, Seton Hall

First Four Out: Arkansas, Syracuse, Texas Tech (+1), Wake Forest

Next Four Out: Tennessee (-1), Georgetown, Georgia Tech, Providence

Third Four Out: Utah, Ohio State, Clemson, Houston

Fourth Four Out: Alabama (+1), Georgia, Temple, Pittsburgh (+1)

Look for my next update later in the week, and check out the Bracket Matrix in the meantime!

 

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About Mike B.

Avid sports fan, particularly of the Detroit Lions, Pistons, and Tigers, and University of Michigan.
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3 Responses to Bracketology: Almost, ACC

  1. Amy Broman says:

    The Connecticut women are amazing! Has any team, men or women, ever had such long winning streak?

    Like

    • Mike B. says:

      Yeah, they are, that’s an unreal streak. Not in basketball. There are a few in other sports, can’t remember off the top of my head, but they said who they were when UConn won their 100th in a row.

      Like

  2. Pingback: Bracketology: Michigan is Surging | The Mind of Mike Broman

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