Here’s my latest NCAA tournament projection. Possibly the biggest change since Wednesday is that we have a new overall number 1, which is Virginia. This comes after Villanova shockingly lost at home to St. John’s on Wednesday.
Then again, as crazy as this season has been, it’s not out of the realm of possibility for St. John’s – currently 1-11 in the Big East and 12-13 overall – to somehow get in on Selection Sunday. They would have to win out in regular season play to start, but can you really write it off when you look at some of the unbelievable results to this point?
With all that said, here’s how I see it as of today. Moves up or down since last time are in parentheses after the team’s name.
In since last time: UNC-Asheville, Marquette
Out since last time: Radford, Washington
1s – Virginia, Villanova, Purdue, Xavier
2s – Kansas, Clemson, Texas Tech, Duke
3s – Auburn, Tennessee, North Carolina (+1), West Virginia
4s – Michigan State (-1), Cincinnati, Oklahoma, Ohio State (+1)
5s – Arizona (-1), Wichita State, Florida (+1), Kentucky
6s – Rhode Island, Gonzaga (-1), Miami, Saint Mary’s (+1)
7s – Seton Hall (-1), Arizona State (+1), Florida State, Texas
8s – Creighton, Butler, Nevada (-1), Texas A & M (+1)
9s – TCU (-1), Michigan, Alabama, Arkansas
10s – Providence, Louisville, Missouri, North Carolina State
11s – UCLA, Houston, Syracuse, Kansas State, USC, Marquette (new)
12s – Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State, Buffalo, Loyola-Chicago
13s – South Dakota State, Vermont (+1), East Tennessee State, Louisiana
14s – Belmont (-1), Wright State, Charleston, Montana
15s – UC Santa Barbara, Bucknell (-1), Rider, Stephen F. Austin
16s – UNC-Asheville (new), Florida Gulf Coast, Penn, Wagner, North Carolina A & T, Arkansas-Pine Bluff
LAST FOUR IN – Syracuse, Kansas State, USC, Marquette
FIRST FOUR OUT – Virginia Tech, Washington, Western Kentucky, Boise State
NEXT FOUR OUT – Mississippi State, Notre Dame, LSU, Temple (+1)
THIRD FOUR OUT – SMU (-1), Utah (+1), Oklahoma State (+1), Nebraska
As always, if you want to rip me because I have your team too low or want to discuss anything else related to bracketology, feel free to do so in the comments. Look for my next update early next week, and check out the Bracket Matrix in the meantime.