On Monday, I spelled out why Michigan State deserved to be a 3 seed. Well, things change quickly in this chaotic season of college basketball. Thanks to losses by three teams above them – North Carolina, Auburn, and Duke – the Spartans are back on the 2 line.
Of course, the teams near the cut line have a more pressing issue. What do these teams need to do in order to wrap up a bid? Or, what will cause them to miss out entirely? Later tonight, I’ll bring you a more detailed write up about the Last Four In and First Four Out, a feature I’ll continue until Selection Sunday.
For now, here is my latest NCAA tournament projection, with moves up or down in parentheses after the team’s name.
In since last time: Syracuse
Out since last time: Texas
1s – Virginia, Villanova, Kansas, Xavier
2s – Purdue, Michigan State (+1), North Carolina, Auburn
3s – Duke (-1), Tennessee, Cincinnati, Wichita State
4s – West Virginia, Clemson (+1), Gonzaga, Texas Tech
5s – Arizona (-1), Kentucky, Ohio State, Michigan (+1)
6s – TCU, Nevada, Seton Hall, Rhode Island (-1)
7s – Houston, Butler, Miami (+1), Saint Mary’s
8s – Arkansas (+1), Florida, Texas A & M, Florida State (-1)
9s – Creighton, Arizona State, Virginia Tech (+1), North Carolina State (+1)
10s – Missouri, Providence, Oklahoma (-2), USC (+1)
11s – Baylor, Saint Bonaventure, Kansas State, Louisville (+1), Syracuse (new), Alabama (-2)
12s – Middle Tennessee (-1), Loyola-Chicago, Louisiana, New Mexico State
13s – South Dakota State, Vermont, Buffalo, Murray State
14s – UNC-Greensboro, Northeastern, Bucknell, Rider
15s – Montana, Northern Kentucky, UC Santa Barbara, Penn
16s – Florida Gulf Coast, UNC-Asheville, Wagner, Nicholls State, Bethune-Cookman, Arkansas-Pine Bluff
LAST FOUR IN – Kansas State, Louisville, Syracuse, Alabama
FIRST FOUR OUT – Marquette, Texas, Washington, UCLA
NEXT FOUR OUT – Notre Dame (+1), LSU, Georgia, Utah
THIRD FOUR OUT – Mississippi State (-1), Western Kentucky, Nebraska (+1), Temple (+1)
As always, if you want to rip me because I have your team too low or want to discuss anything else related to bracketology, feel free to do so in the comments. Look for my next update on Wednesday, and check out the Bracket Matrix in the meantime.