And here we are, just a couple of hours before the Selection Show. It has been an awesome Championship Week, to say the least. Tons of games right down to the wire, many top seeds upset in conference tournaments, and a couple of classic “bid thieves” in San Diego State and Davidson. I love it.
To give you an idea of how into college basketball and bracketology I am, I had two screens on after midnight Saturday, one showing UC-Santa Barbara vs. UC-Irvine, the other showing New Mexico State vs. Seattle. So, I’ve already been fully immersed in March Madness, and I can’t wait for the Selection Show and the tournament.
Yesterday, I wrote in detail about how Louisville and Baylor were my last two teams in, and how I felt everyone else’s bid was safe. Today, I replaced Baylor with Saint Mary’s. Unfortunately for the Gaels, Davidson’s win pushed them right back out of the field. To be honest, I hope I’m wrong… I’d love to see a quality mid-major team (St. Mary’s) over an average major conference team (Louisville). But I think the major conference bias of the Selection Committee will come into play.
Other than that, there were a bunch of other close calls. Throughout the field, there are so many teams with similar resumes jockeying for a given seed. So, here is what I came up with. Moves up or down since last time are in parentheses after the team’s name. Those who have earned an automatic bid are underlined.
Bids clinched since last time: Virginia, Villanova, Kansas, Arizona, New Mexico State, San Diego State, Buffalo, Montana, Marshall, Stephen F. Austin, North Carolina Central, Texas Southern, Cal-Fullerton, Penn, Kentucky, Davidson, Georgia State
In since last time: Davidson, Marshall, North Carolina Central, Texas Southern, Cal-Fullerton, Georgia State
Out since last time: Baylor, Western Kentucky, Hampton, Arkansas-Pine Bluff, UC-Irvine, Texas-Arlington
1s – Virginia, Villanova, Kansas, Xavier
2s – North Carolina, Duke, Cincinnati, Purdue
3s – Tennessee, Michigan, Michigan State, Auburn
4s – West Virginia, Texas Tech, Arizona (+1), Kentucky (+1)
5s – Wichita State (-1), Clemson (-1), Gonzaga, Houston (+1)
6s – Ohio State (-1), Arkansas, Florida, Miami (+1)
7s – Texas A & M (-1), TCU, Seton Hall, Nevada (+1)
8s – Missouri, Rhode Island (-1), Butler, Virginia Tech (+1)
9s – Creighton, Kansas State, Oklahoma (-1), North Carolina State (+1)
10s – Providence (-1), Florida State, Alabama, Saint Bonaventure
11s – Texas, USC, UCLA, Louisville, Loyola-Chicago, New Mexico State (+1)
12s – San Diego State, Davidson (new), South Dakota State, Buffalo (+1)
13s – Murray State (-1), Charleston (+1), Montana (+1), UNC-Greensboro
14s – Marshall (new), Bucknell, Wright State, Stephen F. Austin (+1)
15s – Lipscomb, Penn, Maryland-Baltimore County (+1), Georgia State (new)
16s – Iona, Cal-Fullerton (new), Radford, LIU-Brooklyn, North Carolina Central (new), Texas Southern (new)
LAST FOUR IN – Texas, USC, UCLA, Louisville
FIRST FOUR OUT – Saint Mary’s, Syracuse, Marquette, Baylor
NEXT FOUR OUT – Middle Tennessee (-1), Arizona State, Oklahoma State, Notre Dame
As always, if you want to rip me because I have your team too low or want to discuss anything else related to bracketology, feel free to do so in the comments. Check out the Bracket Matrix to see who did the best projection, and enjoy the tournament!