It’s finally time to get going with this year’s bracketology. At this point, one thing is clear: there are a lot of mediocre teams that are going to make the field (which led to my brilliant title for this post). Don’t be surprised if anyone from the 8-line down is out by Selection Sunday. With that said, here we go.
1s: Duke, Tennessee, Virginia, Gonzaga
2s: Kentucky, Michigan State, Michigan, North Carolina
3s: Kansas, Marquette, Purdue, Houston
4s: Nevada, Texas Tech, LSU, Wisconsin
5s: Louisville, Florida State, Maryland, Kansas State
6s: Iowa State, Iowa, Mississippi State, Virginia Tech
7s: Villanova, Cincinnati, Ole Miss, Saint John’s
8s: Texas, Baylor, Auburn, Minnesota
9s: Buffalo, Washington, Oklahoma, Seton Hall
10s: Ohio State, Syracuse, North Carolina State, TCU
11s: Arizona State, Alabama, Florida, Clemson, Nebraska, Temple
12s: Wofford, VCU, Belmont, Lipscomb
13s: Old Dominion, New Mexico State, Vermont, Hofstra
14s: Yale, Radford, UC-Irvine, South Dakota State
15s: Drake, Montana, Texas State, Northern Kentucky
16s: Texas Southern, Sam Houston State, Bucknell, Norfolk State, St. Francis-PA, Canisius
Last Four In: Florida, Clemson, Nebraska, Temple
First Four Out: UCF, Furman, Utah State, Butler
Next Four Out: South Carolina, Georgetown, UNC-Greensboro, Providence
As always, it will be exciting to see just how much this changes between now and Selection Sunday (and just how good, or bad, a job I did of projecting the bracket). The past two years, I started doing this in mid-December, but the lack of good information about who’s good (other than obvious teams like Duke, Gonzaga, or Kentucky) or who’s bad (other than the obvious, like The Citadel or half of the Pac-12) makes that a futile task. So, I decided to wait longer this year. Will this lead to a more accurate final projection? We’ll see.
For the next couple weeks, I will update as often as my schedule allows, ramping up to daily or almost daily updates around March 8 when conference tournaments are really picking up. Coincidentally, that is also when my spring break starts. How great is that?
Anyway, for now, if you want to see the projections of about 100 other diehards like me, go to the Bracket Matrix.