Bracketology: Changes at the Top

A couple weeks ago, Purdue seemed like a near-lock for a 1 seed.  Fast forward, and the Boilermakers have now lost three straight.  The latest loss, at Wisconsin on Thursday night, was the most damaging.  As a result, they fall to the 2 line and Auburn rises to the 1 line.  If the season ended today, I think it’d be a very close call between Auburn and Kansas for the final 1 seed, but I think Auburn gets it on the strength of slightly better numbers, including only 3 losses on the season to 7 for Kansas.

Near the cut line, a point of interest for me is always how many at-large bids the mid-major conferences can earn.  I think with Saint Bonaventure’s big win over Rhode Island last night, they’re now position to potentially get one more.  I now have the Bonnies in the First Four Out.  They still have work to do and they are suffering from several bad losses – Dayton, Davidson, Saint Joe’s, and Niagara – but they also have a collection of nice wins and could make a case over the middling major conference teams in the Last Four In.

With all that said, here’s today’s update.  Moves up or down since last time are in parentheses after the team’s name.

In since last time: Wright State

Out since last time: Northern Kentucky

1s – Virginia, Xavier, Villanova, Auburn (+1)

2s – Kansas, Purdue (-1), Duke, Texas Tech

3s – Cincinnati, Michigan State, North Carolina, Clemson

4s – Tennessee, Arizona, West Virginia, Gonzaga (+1)

5s – Ohio State (-1), Wichita State, Oklahoma, Rhode Island

6s – Florida, Alabama, Arizona State, Saint Mary’s

7s – Nevada, Florida State, Miami, Texas A & M

8s – Creighton, Kentucky, Seton Hall, Michigan

9s – Missouri, Houston (+1), Arkansas, TCU

10s – Louisville (-1), Butler, Providence, Texas

11s – UCLA, Virginia Tech, North Carolina State, Baylor, Kansas State, Syracuse

12s – Middle Tennessee, Buffalo, Vermont (+1), New Mexico State

13s – Loyola-Chicago (-1), Louisiana, South Dakota State, Belmont

14s – East Tennessee State, UC Santa Barbara, Charleston, Rider (+1)

15s – Montana (-1), Bucknell, Wright State (new), Stephen F. Austin

16s – Penn, Wagner, Florida Gulf Coast, UNC-Asheville, Savannah State, Grambling

LAST FOUR IN – North Carolina State, Baylor, Kansas State, Syracuse

FIRST FOUR OUT – USC, Washington, Saint Bonaventure (+2), Western Kentucky

NEXT FOUR OUT – Temple, LSU, Notre Dame (-1), Boise State

THIRD FOUR OUT – Utah, Nebraska, Marquette (-1), Mississippi State

As always, if you want to rip me because I have your team too low or want to discuss anything else related to bracketology, feel free to do so in the comments.  Look for my next update on Tuesday, and check out the Bracket Matrix in the meantime. 

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Bracketology 2/15/18

Here’s a quick bracketology update heading into Thursday night.  Moves up or down since last time are in parentheses after the team’s name.

In since last time: Savannah State, Grambling

Out since last time: North Carolina A & T, Arkansas-Pine Bluff

1s – Virginia, Xavier, Villanova, Purdue

2s – Auburn, Kansas, Duke, Texas Tech (+1)

3s – Cincinnati (-1), Michigan State, North Carolina, Clemson

4s – Tennessee, Ohio State, Arizona, West Virginia (+1)

5s – Oklahoma (-1), Gonzaga (+1), Wichita State, Rhode Island

6s – Florida (-1), Arizona State, Saint Mary’s (+1), Alabama (+2)

7s – Nevada, Florida State (+1), Miami (-1), Texas A & M

8s – Creighton, Kentucky (-2), Seton Hall (-1), Michigan (+1)

9s – Missouri (+1), Arkansas, Louisville (+1), TCU

10s – Houston, Butler (-1), Providence (+1), Texas (-2)

11s – North Carolina State, Virginia Tech (-1), UCLA, Baylor, Kansas State, Syracuse

12s – Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State, Loyola-Chicago, Buffalo

13s – Vermont, South Dakota State, Louisiana, Belmont (+1)

14s – East Tennessee State (-1), UC Santa Barbara, Montana (+1), Charleston

15s – Northern Kentucky (-1), Rider, Bucknell, Stephen F. Austin

16s – Florida Gulf Coast, UNC-Asheville, Penn, Wagner, Savannah State (new), Grambling (new)

LAST FOUR IN – UCLA, Baylor, Kansas State, Syracuse

FIRST FOUR OUT – Washington, USC, Western Kentucky, Notre Dame

NEXT FOUR OUT – Temple, Marquette, LSU, Boise State

THIRD FOUR OUT – Nebraska, Utah, Saint Bonaventure (+1), Mississippi State

As always, if you want to rip me because I have your team too low or want to discuss anything else related to bracketology, feel free to do so in the comments.  Look for my next update Saturday, and check out the Bracket Matrix in the meantime. 

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Bracketology: Reactions to the Reveal

For the second year, the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee did an “early reveal” of the top 16 teams in the bracket.  I had a few teams on the top 4 lines seeded differently as of last Friday, but the only big surprise to me was Cincinnati being a 2 seed.  I had the Bearcats as a 4; despite a great 23-2 record, being 6th in RPI, and 3rd in KenPom, their best win is either home against Houston or at UCLA (depending on which team you think is better).  And the Committee in recent years hasn’t shown much respect to the top teams from the mid-majors.  So, this seeding was unexpected.

Another slight surprise was West Virginia, who wasn’t in the reveal.  I assume the Mountaineers are a 5 seed as of now.  I had them as a 3 on Friday, though I would have dropped them to a 4 after losing to Oklahoma State.  This would have bumped Oklahoma down to the 5 line (Oklahoma was revealed as the last team on the 4 line).  Other than that, Arizona would have moved up to the 4 line after beating USC on Saturday; Michigan State would have moved up to the 3 line after beating Purdue, with Tennessee dropping to the 4 line after being blown out at Alabama.

Anyway, you’ll see that I now have the 1-4 lines in the same order as they were revealed over the weekend.  It’s like taking a test and having a quarter of the answers given to you… may as well roll with it.

As far as the Last Four In… all I am going to say is that someone has to fill those spots (and that one of them will probably make a serious run in March, because that’s how it works).

Moves up or down since last time are in parentheses after the team’s name. In since last time: Northern Kentucky, Virginia Tech, Baylor

 

Out since last time: Wright State, Marquette, USC

1s – Virginia, Villanova, Xavier, Purdue

2s – Auburn (+1), Kansas, Duke, Cincinnati (+2)

3s – Clemson (-1), Texas Tech (-1), Michigan State (+1), North Carolina

4s – Tennessee (-1), Ohio State, Arizona (+1), Oklahoma

5s – West Virginia (-2), Wichita State, Florida, Rhode Island (+1)

6s – Gonzaga, Arizona State (+1), Kentucky (-1), Miami

7s – Texas A & M (+1), Saint Mary’s (-1), Seton Hall, Nevada (+1)

8s – Alabama (+1), Creighton, Florida State (-1), Texas (-1)

9s – TCU, Michigan, Butler (-1), Arkansas

10s – Louisville, Missouri, Virginia Tech (new), Houston (+1)

11s – North Carolina State (-1), UCLA, Syracuse, Baylor (new), Providence (-1), Kansas State

12s – Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State, Loyola-Chicago, Buffalo

13s – Vermont, South Dakota State, East Tennessee State, Louisiana

14s – Belmont, Northern Kentucky (new), Charleston, UC Santa Barbara (+1)

15s – Montana (-1), Rider, Bucknell, Stephen F. Austin

16s – Florida Gulf Coast, UNC-Asheville, Penn, Wagner, North Carolina A & T, Arkansas-Pine Bluff

LAST FOUR IN – Syracuse, Baylor, Providence, Kansas State

FIRST FOUR OUT – Washington, Notre Dame (+1), Western Kentucky, USC

NEXT FOUR OUT – LSU, Temple, Boise State (-1), Marquette

THIRD FOUR OUT – Oklahoma State, Utah, Mississippi State (-1), Nebraska

As always, if you want to rip me because I have your team too low or want to discuss anything else related to bracketology, feel free to do so in the comments.  Look for my next update Thursday, and check out the Bracket Matrix in the meantime. 

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Bracketology: Virginia Now Leads the Way

Here’s my latest NCAA tournament projection.  Possibly the biggest change since Wednesday is that we have a new overall number 1, which is Virginia.  This comes after Villanova shockingly lost at home to St. John’s on Wednesday.

Then again, as crazy as this season has been, it’s not out of the realm of possibility for St. John’s – currently 1-11 in the Big East and 12-13 overall – to somehow get in on Selection Sunday.  They would have to win out in regular season play to start, but can you really write it off when you look at some of the unbelievable results to this point?

With all that said, here’s how I see it as of today.  Moves up or down since last time are in parentheses after the team’s name.

In since last time: UNC-Asheville, Marquette

Out since last time: Radford, Washington

1s – Virginia, Villanova, Purdue, Xavier

2s – Kansas, Clemson, Texas Tech, Duke

3s – Auburn, Tennessee, North Carolina (+1), West Virginia

4s – Michigan State (-1), Cincinnati, Oklahoma, Ohio State (+1)

5s – Arizona (-1), Wichita State, Florida (+1), Kentucky

6s – Rhode Island, Gonzaga (-1), Miami, Saint Mary’s (+1)

7s – Seton Hall (-1), Arizona State (+1), Florida State, Texas

8s – Creighton, Butler, Nevada (-1), Texas A & M (+1)

9s – TCU (-1), Michigan, Alabama, Arkansas

10s – Providence, Louisville, Missouri, North Carolina State

11s – UCLA, Houston, Syracuse, Kansas State, USC, Marquette (new)

12s – Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State, Buffalo, Loyola-Chicago

13s – South Dakota State, Vermont (+1), East Tennessee State, Louisiana

14s – Belmont (-1), Wright State, Charleston, Montana

15s – UC Santa Barbara, Bucknell (-1), Rider, Stephen F. Austin

16s – UNC-Asheville (new), Florida Gulf Coast, Penn, Wagner, North Carolina A & T, Arkansas-Pine Bluff

LAST FOUR IN – Syracuse, Kansas State, USC, Marquette

FIRST FOUR OUT – Virginia Tech, Washington, Western Kentucky, Boise State

NEXT FOUR OUT – Mississippi State, Notre Dame, LSU, Temple (+1)

THIRD FOUR OUT – SMU (-1), Utah (+1), Oklahoma State (+1), Nebraska

As always, if you want to rip me because I have your team too low or want to discuss anything else related to bracketology, feel free to do so in the comments.  Look for my next update early next week, and check out the Bracket Matrix in the meantime. 

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Bracketology 2/7/18

Here’s a quick NCAA tournament projection.  Moves up or down since last time are in parentheses after the team’s name.

In since last time: Syracuse

Out since last time: Marquette

1s – Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Xavier

2s – Kansas, Clemson, Texas Tech, Duke

3s – Auburn, Tennessee, Michigan State, West Virginia (+1)

4s – North Carolina, Cincinnati, Oklahoma (-1), Arizona

5s – Ohio State, Wichita State (+1), Gonzaga, Kentucky

6s – Rhode Island, Seton Hall (-1), Florida, Miami

7s – Saint Mary’s, Nevada, Florida State, Texas (+1)

8s – Arizona State, Butler, Creighton (+1), TCU (-1)

9s – Michigan (-1), Alabama, Texas A & M, Arkansas (+1)

10s – North Carolina State, Providence, Louisville (-1), Missouri (+1)

11s – Washington (-1), USC, Syracuse (new), Houston, UCLA, Kansas State

12s – Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State, Buffalo, Loyola-Chicago

13s – Belmont, South Dakota State, East Tennessee State, Louisiana

14s – Vermont, Wright State, Charleston (+1), Montana

15s – UC Santa Barbara, Bucknell (-1), Rider, Stephen F. Austin

16s – Florida Gulf Coast, Penn, Wagner, Radford, North Carolina A & T, Arkansas-Pine Bluff

LAST FOUR IN – Syracuse, Houston, UCLA, Kansas State

FIRST FOUR OUT – Marquette, Western Kentucky, Boise State, Virginia Tech

NEXT FOUR OUT – LSU, Notre Dame, SMU, Mississippi State (+1)

THIRD FOUR OUT – Georgia (-1), Temple, Maryland (+1), Nebraska (+1)

As always, if you want to rip me because I have your team too low or want to discuss anything else related to bracketology, feel free to do so in the comments.  Look for my next update over the weekend, and check out the Bracket Matrix in the meantime. 

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Bracketology: Super Sunday Edition

Here’s a quick NCAA tournament projection as we get ready for the Super Bowl tonight.  Moves up or down since last time are in parentheses after the team’s name.

In since last time: Washington, Missouri, UCLA, Charleston

Out since last time: Boise State, Western Kentucky, Syracuse, William & Mary

1s – Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Xavier (+1)

2s – Kansas (-1), Clemson, Texas Tech (+1), Duke

3s – Auburn, Oklahoma (-1), Michigan State, Tennessee

4s – North Carolina, West Virginia, Cincinnati, Arizona

5s – Ohio State, Kentucky, Seton Hall (+1), Gonzaga

6s – Rhode Island, Florida (-1), Wichita State, Miami (+1)

7s – Saint Mary’s (-1), Nevada, Florida State (+1), TCU

8s – Michigan, Butler, Texas (+1), Arizona State (-1)

9s – Alabama, Creighton, Louisville (-1), Texas A & M (+1)

10s – North Carolina State, Providence, Arkansas (-1), Washington (new)

11s – Missouri (new), USC (-1), Houston, UCLA (new), Marquette (+1), Kansas State

12s – Middle Tennessee (-1), New Mexico State, Buffalo, Loyola-Chicago

13s – Belmont, South Dakota State, East Tennessee State, Louisiana

14s – Vermont, Wright State, Bucknell, Charleston (new)

15s – Montana, UC Santa Barbara, Rider, Stephen F. Austin

16s – Florida Gulf Coast, Penn, Wagner, Radford, North Carolina A & T, Arkansas-Pine Bluff

LAST FOUR IN – Houston, UCLA, Marquette, Kansas State

FIRST FOUR OUT – Western Kentucky, Syracuse, Boise State, Virginia Tech (+1)

NEXT FOUR OUT – SMU, LSU (+1), Notre Dame (-1), Georgia

THIRD FOUR OUT – Oklahoma State (+2), Mississippi State (+1), Temple, South Carolina (-1)

As always, if you want to rip me because I have your team too low or want to discuss anything else related to bracketology, feel free to do so in the comments.  Look for my next update early in the week, and check out the Bracket Matrix in the meantime. 

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Bracketology: Mid-Major Movement

Like my post from Wednesday, let’s examine a team’s resume to start off.  Where would you put this team right now?

Record: 15-8 (5-5 in conference, 1-5 in true road games)

Strength of schedule: 70th overall, 103rd non-conference

Ken Pom: 51st

RPI: 68

Good wins: at Wichita State, Arizona (neutral court), vs. USC, vs. Boise State

Bad losses: at Uconn, at Tulane, at Tulsa, Northern Iowa (neutral court)

Read on to find out who this team is and where I’d project them today.  This is another example of a resume that is all over the place.  A couple of really nice wins, along with a couple of really bad losses, and middling rankings.

One thing you might notice in this latest NCAA tournament projection is that I’m betting on the Selection Committee to give the mid-majors some respect, which is something they’ve been doing less and less of in recent years.  Gonzaga remains on the 5 line (few others have them this high), while Rhode Island, Saint Mary’s, and Nevada have all moved up a line.  I’ll probably go back and forth on this 1,000 times between now and Selection Sunday because lately, the Selection Committee shows a preference for middling major conference teams over strong mid-major conference teams.  But, we’ll see.

So, here’s today’s projection.  Moves up or down since last time are in parentheses after the team’s name.

In since last time: William & Mary, UC Santa Barbara, Stephen F. Austin

Out since last time: Northeastern, UC Davis, Nicholls State

1s – Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Kansas

2s – Duke, Xavier, Clemson, Oklahoma

3s – Auburn, Michigan State, Texas Tech, Tennessee (+1)

4s – Arizona, North Carolina, West Virginia (-1), Cincinnati (+1)

5s – Kentucky, Ohio State (-1), Florida (+1), Gonzaga

6s – Seton Hall, Rhode Island (+1), Wichita State (-1), Saint Mary’s (+1)

7s – TCU (-1), Nevada (+1), Miami (+1), Arizona State (-1)

8s – Louisville (-1), Florida State (-1), Michigan, Butler (+1)

9s – Creighton (-1), Arkansas, Texas, Alabama

10s – Texas A & M, North Carolina State, USC (+1), Providence

11s – Kansas State, Western Kentucky, Syracuse (-1), Houston, Middle Tennessee (+1)

12s – Marquette (-1), Boise State (-1), New Mexico State, Buffalo, Loyola-Chicago

13s – Belmont, South Dakota State, East Tennessee State, Louisiana

14s – Vermont, William & Mary (new), Wright State, Bucknell

15s – Montana, UC Santa Barbara (new), Stephen F. Austin (new), Rider

16s – Florida Gulf Coast, Penn (-1), Wagner, Radford, North Carolina A & T, Arkansas-Pine Bluff

LAST FOUR IN – Syracuse, Houston, Marquette, Boise State

FIRST FOUR OUT – Washington, Missouri (+1), UCLA, Notre Dame

NEXT FOUR OUT – Virginia Tech, Georgia, SMU (-1), South Carolina

THIRD FOUR OUT – Temple (+2), Nebraska, Maryland, LSU

So, the mystery team from the beginning of the post is SMU.  As you see above, I have them in the Next Four Out.  While they’re actually on the 11 line right now according to the Bracket Matrix, I just don’t see them as strong enough to get in the field right now.

Anyway, that will do it for today.  As always, if you want to rip me because I have your team too low or want to discuss anything else related to bracketology, feel free to do so in the comments.  Look for my next update early next week.

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Bracketology 1/31/18

Let me get you thinking to start this post.  Where would you put this team right now?

Record: 11-10 (3-6 in conference, 2-6 in true road games)

Strength of schedule: 3rd overall, 7th non-conference

Ken Pom: 84th

RPI: 44

Good wins: their best outings came in victories over Clemson and Auburn on a neutral court.  They’ve also won at SMU and on a neutral court against South Carolina.

Bad losses: a questionable one vs. Memphis, and clearly bad ones vs. Tulane, at La Salle, and against George Washington on a neutral court.

Read on to find out who this team is and where I’d project them today.  In a season full of chaos, this resume is maybe the craziest.  The numbers and results are all over the place.

In since last time: Arkansas-Pine Bluff, North Carolina A & T, North Carolina State, Boise State

Out since last time: Jackson State, North Carolina Central, Notre Dame, Missouri

1s – Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Kansas (+1)

2s – Duke (-1), Xavier, Clemson (+1), Oklahoma

3s – Auburn (+1), Michigan State, Texas Tech, West Virginia

4s – Tennessee, North Carolina (-2), Arizona, Ohio State

5s – Kentucky, Cincinnati, Gonzaga, Wichita State (+1)

6s – Florida (-1), Arizona State, Seton Hall, TCU

7s – Rhode Island, Saint Mary’s, Florida State (+1), Louisville (+1)

8s – Nevada, Miami (-1), Michigan, Creighton (+1)

9s – Arkansas (-2), Butler, Texas, Alabama (+1)

10s – Texas A & M (-1), Providence, North Carolina State (new), Syracuse

11s – USC, Marquette, Western Kentucky, Houston, Kansas State, Boise State (new)

12s – New Mexico State, Middle Tennessee, Loyola-Chicago, Buffalo

13s – Belmont, South Dakota State, East Tennessee State (+1), Louisiana

14s – Vermont (-1), Wright State, Northeastern, Bucknell (+1)

15s – Montana (-1), UC Davis, Rider, Penn

16s – Florida Gulf Coast, Wagner, Radford, Nicholls State, North Carolina A & T (new), Arkansas-Pine Bluff (new)

LAST FOUR IN – Western Kentucky, Houston, Kansas State, Boise State

FIRST FOUR OUT – UCLA, Washington, SMU (+1), Notre Dame

NEXT FOUR OUT – Georgia, Virginia Tech (+1), Missouri, South Carolina

THIRD FOUR OUT – Nebraska (+2), Maryland, LSU (-1), Utah

So, the mystery team from the beginning of the post is Temple.  Right now, I have them as a 5 seed in the NIT (or in the “Fifth Four Out” of the NCAA tournament).  Even if they win out, I really doubt they make the field unless, of course, they win the AAC tournament.  But, it’s no stretch to say weirder things have happened – remember Tulsa getting in two years ago?

Anyway, that will do it for today.  As always, if you want to rip me because I have your team too low or want to discuss anything else related to bracketology, feel free to do so in the comments.  And as always, remember to check out the Bracket Matrix, a must for those of us who are obsessed with this stuff.  

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Bracketology 1/27/18

Watching Arizona State fall at home to Utah on Thursday night, I had to ask myself: will the Sun Devils play their way out of the NCAA tournament?  That seemed absolutely impossible coming into conference play.  They were hotter than the state they play in, at 12-0 with wins over Kansas and Xavier.  But now, Arizona State sits at just 3-5 in the fairly weak Pac 12 and seems to be going completely in the wrong direction.  While I still see them as a likely participant in March Madness, they’ve fallen from a 4 seed to a 6 seed in today’s projection.

On the other side of that coin, an Auburn team that I didn’t even have in the field in my opening projection of the season has now risen to a 4 seed.  While some on the Bracket Matrix have them as high as a 1, I’d still like to see the Tigers do a little more before I move them up further.  For example, notch wins over Kentucky, who they play on February 14, and Florida, who they play on February 24.  Right now, Auburn owns a win at Tennessee, but lacks any other wins over high-seeded teams.  They also have a questionable neutral-court loss to Temple in the non-conference.  This year’s SEC is so deep anyway that I figure we’ll see a lot more separation between the teams by Selection Sunday.

With all that said, here’s today’s projection.  Moves up or down are in parentheses following the team’s name.

In since last time: Nicholls State, Northeastern, Kansas State

Out since last time: Stephen F. Austin, William & Mary, SMU

1s – Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Duke

2s – Kansas, Oklahoma, Xavier, North Carolina (+1)

3s – West Virginia, Michigan State (-1), Texas Tech, Clemson (+1)

4s – Arizona (-1), Auburn (+2), Tennessee (+1), Ohio State

5s – Cincinnati, Gonzaga, Florida (-1), Kentucky

6s – Wichita State, Arizona State (-2), Seton Hall, TCU

7s – Rhode Island, Saint Mary’s (+1), Arkansas, Miami

8s – Michigan (-1), Florida State (+1), Louisville, Nevada

9s – Creighton (-1), Butler, Texas A & M, Texas (+1)

10s – Notre Dame (-1), Providence, Syracuse, Alabama

11s – USC, Marquette, Western Kentucky, Missouri, Kansas State (new), Houston

12s – New Mexico State, Middle Tennessee, Buffalo, Loyola-Chicago (+1)

13s – Belmont (-1), Vermont, Louisiana, South Dakota State

14s – East Tennessee State, Northeastern (new), Montana, Wright State

15s – Bucknell, UC Davis, Rider, Penn (+1)

16s – Florida Gulf Coast, Radford, Wagner, Nicholls State (new), North Carolina Central, Jackson State

LAST FOUR IN – Western Kentucky, Missouri, Kansas State, Houston

FIRST FOUR OUT – Boise State, Washington, UCLA (+1), North Carolina State

NEXT FOUR OUT – SMU, South Carolina (+1), Georgia, LSU

THIRD FOUR OUT – Oklahoma State (-1), Maryland, Virginia Tech, Utah (+1)

So, that will do it for today.  As always, if you want to rip me because I have your team too low or want to discuss anything else related to bracketology, feel free to do so in the comments.  And as always, remember to check out the Bracket Matrix, a must for those of us who are obsessed with this stuff.  

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Bracketology 1/24/18

Here’s a quick mid-week update.  I’ll bring you another update with analysis on Friday or Saturday.  As always, moves up or down since last time are in parentheses after the team’s name.

In since last time: Loyola-Chicago, Western Kentucky, Houston

Out since last time: Missouri State, North Carolina State, UCLA

1s – Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Duke

2s – Kansas, Oklahoma (+1), Xavier (+1), Michigan State

3s – North Carolina (-1), West Virginia (-1), Texas Tech, Arizona

4s – Clemson, Ohio State (+1), Arizona State, Florida (+1)

5s – Cincinnati, Tennessee (+1), Kentucky (-1), Gonzaga

6s – Wichita State (-2), Seton Hall, Auburn (+2), TCU

7s – Arkansas (-1), Miami, Rhode Island, Michigan

8s – Saint Mary’s, Creighton (-1), Louisville (+1), Nevada (+1)

9s – Butler (-1), Florida State, Texas A & M (-1), Notre Dame

10s – Texas, Providence (+1), Syracuse, Alabama

11s – Marquette, Missouri (-1), Western Kentucky (new), USC, SMU, Houston (new)

12s – New Mexico State, Middle Tennessee (+1), Buffalo, Belmont

13s – Loyola-Chicago (new), Vermont (-1), South Dakota State, Louisiana-Lafayette

14s – East Tennessee State, William & Mary (+2), Montana, Wright State

15s – Stephen F. Austin (-1), Bucknell, UC Davis, Rider (+1)

16s – Florida Gulf Coast (-1), Radford (-1), Penn, Wagner, North Carolina Central, Jackson State

LAST FOUR IN – Western Kentucky, USC, SMU, Houston

FIRST FOUR OUT – Kansas State (+4), North Carolina State, Washington (+1), Boise State (+1)

NEXT FOUR OUT – UCLA, Oklahoma State (+2), Georgia (-1), LSU

THIRD FOUR OUT – Baylor (-2), Maryland (-2), Virginia Tech (+2), South Carolina

So, that will do it for today.  As always, if you want to rip me because I have your team too low or want to discuss anything else related to bracketology, feel free to do so in the comments.  And as always, remember to check out the Bracket Matrix, a must for those of us who are obsessed with this stuff.  

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